https://warontherocks.com/2019/01/self-deception-and-the-conspiracy-of-optimism/
This is written in the context of our military ... but the observations are transferable I think to the context of survival and preparedness. 4 common military failures: overconfidence; underestimating the enemy; ignoring intelligence reports; and wasting manpower. Translated to a civilian: overestimating preparedness, underestimating the likelihood of a crisis, ignoring information (dismissing it as alarmist perhaps) and wasting resources.
Even if you don't choose to consider it from a preparedness perspective, its a great article about what our military is facing today.
This is written in the context of our military ... but the observations are transferable I think to the context of survival and preparedness. 4 common military failures: overconfidence; underestimating the enemy; ignoring intelligence reports; and wasting manpower. Translated to a civilian: overestimating preparedness, underestimating the likelihood of a crisis, ignoring information (dismissing it as alarmist perhaps) and wasting resources.
Even if you don't choose to consider it from a preparedness perspective, its a great article about what our military is facing today.